A couple of weeks ago, I had the opportunity to participate in the AASP-PA meetings in Grantville PA. It was an interesting and informative experience and gave me some insight into the concept of momentum. I came to the conclusion that there exists in the universe a law which states “A bad idea, once moving, cannot be stopped”, especially where government is involved. One of the presenters informed us of the coming revolution that is the electric car, comparing it to cell phones, computers and the early automobile. We were shown charging stations that would allow mainstream use of these vehicles by allowing people to cover greater distances without running out of power. We were told that we were getting a glimpse of the future and once people figured this out, electrics would sell like hot cakes. Well, I have a hard time believing that as the free market has not embraced this mode of transportation, and therefore in my opinion, it has no chance of going mainstream. It has no chance of getting off the ground without government help. Think about the complex government involvement in all markets by way of subsidies, tax breaks, cronyism, favoritism, etc., and the huge costs involved. When the free market satisfies demand for a product or service, that product or service is sustainable until it is no longer applicable or wanted. When government meddles in a market by providing incentives, that market is only sustainable as long as those incentives exist. Despite the fact that Government Motors and Chrysler came back from the dead at the expense of stockholders and Ford Motor, the cost to taxpayers was huge. Saving huge companies such as GM was not about saving jobs, but about saving the government, financiers, and industrialists. GM didn’t pay back part of its debt to the government with profits from operations, but with more debt from banks backed by the government. If the electric car were such a great idea, the free market would fill that need or want at a much lower cost than any government program could produce. A thinking person would say to himself “how can the electric grid handle a huge increase in electric vehicles when PPL is encouraging people to put solar panels on their houses just so the company can get the energy credits?” Hello. They don’t have the capacity. Remember the brownouts? How is that infrastructure buildout going to take place when the government is squashing the use of coal and hydro to produce energy? In 2009 Coal provided 44% of the electricity produced in the United States and 41% worldwide. What is going to replace that? It is pretty hard to beat the stuff in energy per pound. The next biggest is nuclear at about 20%. After the Japanese debacle, don’t expect any buildout in nuclear plants even though the newest technology is safer than coal. The simplest thing the government could do with no increase in bureaucracy is to raise the gasoline tax which increases the price of gasoline to the point that markets demand more fuel efficient or alternative energy transportation. And then get out of the way of free enterprise. Now I can hear the screaming going on about the increased costs to the middle class associated with that idea, but dismantle the bureaucracy now in place and strip out all of the hidden costs in regulations, mandates, etc., forced on the public presently and it would be cheaper to get from point A to point B. People don’t look at the hidden tax of inflation caused by government spending and mandates because they don’t need to overtly fork over the cash or stuff a credit card into the pump. Well, as I said before, if an idea gets any momentum, it will be realized. However, the free market always wins eventually. It may take years and I don’t know what it will look like, but like other businesses, we will adapt to it. Instead of fixing mechanical things we will be fixing electrical things. The good news is that cars are getting more reliable. The bad news is that when something breaks, it costs a lot more to fix it. Properly maintaining any mechanical or electrical device almost always lowers costs over its service life. There’s no getting around that. The economy has been tough on a lot of folks and still looks scary going forward, but at the end of the day, the service industry will still be helping the public get from point A to point B safely and reliably.
Archive for the ‘Industry News’ Category
Electric Cars and Government
Tuesday, May 24th, 2011Ethanol and you
Wednesday, March 23rd, 2011As the government continues to meddle in the free market, unintended consequences pop up all over the place. Now we have the EPA, after much lobbying from big agriculture, approving the use of E15, which is a blend of 15% ethanol to gas by volume. So what is the problem? Well, one of the problems is that as we take corn out of production to make fuel, we make the products that depend on corn more expensive and don’t make a dent in our energy dependence. Food costs more because of all of the products derived from corn. Think cereal, cooking oil, margarine, baked goods, etc. Meat costs more because it costs more to feed cattle, chickens, and hogs. Driving costs more because your car doesn’t have the fuel economy it had on straight gasoline. The other problem is the effects ethanol has on power equipment from snow mobiles to lawn mowers to older vehicles and motorcycles. Having raced cars on methanol, I know how injurious the stuff is to plastic and alloy, meaning aluminum, parts. Ethanol is derived primarily from corn and methanol is derived from wood, but their properties are very similar. Ethanol reduces fuel economy because it doesn’t have the heat value of gasoline. Our race cars had to flow 2.5 times as much methanol as gasoline to create maximum power. The reason we used it is that in those concentrations it created 10% more power than gasoline and it ran cooler. We have an industry that is being subsidized by government, and one that couldn’t stand on its own, being forced down our throats by an organization whose regulators were not elected and seems to be accountable to no one. What we are doing is cost shifting, transferring wealth if you will. Anyone who owns a vehicle or power equipment not designed to handle higher concentrations of ethanol is going to be a big loser. The free market may come up with solutions to the problem of operating older equipment on this stuff, but at the expense of reliability and higher cost of ownership. Let’s suppose the free market doesn’t come up with a solution. I believe the unstated objective of the powers that be is to limit our choices to owning anything “green”. This is not the road to energy independence. If we converted all of the corn produced in the U.S. on an annual basis to ethanol production, we still would need to import oil. Policy makers are not interested in you getting the most bang for your buck by driving your car until the wheels fall off. The economy only expands because of debt creation and that means they want you to buy stuff, which puts you in debt. It is time for our elected officials to stand up and take responsibility for decisions affecting our pocket books via the EPA and other regulatory bodies. I’ll end this with a thought provoking statement; there are more regulators in the U.S. than there are businesses. Food for thought.